Surprise, AZ
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends & Data
Surprise's Demographic Profile
Surprise has 59,353 households and a median income of $83,527, providing context for rent absorption and tenant demand across retail and multifamily assets. A +9% five-year population trend is a key signal for evaluating long-term demand in this market.
| Key Demographic Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 162,919 |
| # Households | 59,353 |
| Median age | 43 |
| Median household income | $83,527 |
| Avg household size | 3.0 |
| Renter-occupied housing units | 12,849 |
| 5-year population change | +9% |
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| Nearby Office Markets | Avg Cost/SF | Typical Size | Cap Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| Surprise | $361 | 31,374 SF | 7.50% |
| Sun City West | $302 | 17,195 SF | 7.50% |
| Peoria | $376 | 29,934 SF | 8.69% |
| Sun City | $335 | 35,972 SF | 8.69% |
| El Mirage | $458 | 58,147 SF | 7.50% |
| Nearby Retail Markets | Avg Cost/SF | Typical Size |
|---|---|---|
| Surprise | $483 | 33,085 SF |
| Sun City West | $253 | 41,145 SF |
| Waddell | $463 | 3,970 SF |
| Peoria | $466 | 10,237 SF |
| Sun City | $343 | 10,292 SF |
| Nearby Multifamily Markets | Avg Cost/SF | Typical Size | Cap Max |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peoria | $284 | 8,667 SF | 3.79% |
| Glendale | $266 | 20,208 SF | 4.81% |
| Phoenix | $299 | 25,739 SF | 8.58% |
| Avondale | $26 | 72,333 SF | 5.56% |
| Paradise Valley | $970 | 1,886 SF | 5.93% |
Commercial Properties For Sale in Surprise
Average Price For Sale
↻ Updated MonthlyAverage Price For Lease
↻ Updated MonthlyNumber of Listings
↻ Updated MonthlyCap Rate
↻ Updated MonthlyHow Investors Evaluate Commercial Real Estate Markets
Nearby Commercial Markets
Comparing nearby markets helps investors see whether Surprise pricing and building scale sit above, below, or in line with surrounding areas.
| Commercial Markets | Avg Cost/SF | Average Size |
|---|---|---|
| Surprise | $522 | 60,800 SF |
| Sun City West | $350 | 41,145 SF |
| Waddell | $525 | 240,384 SF |
| Peoria | $417 | 20,347 SF |
Regional Demographic Comparison
This comparison places Surprise alongside nearby cities to show how population size, household counts, and income levels differ across the region. Viewing these markets side by side helps investors understand whether local demand and income characteristics are concentrated in Surprise or distributed across surrounding areas.
| City | Population | # Households | Age | Median Household Income | Avg Household Size | Renter Occupied Housing Units | Five Yr Pop Growth % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surprise | 162,919 | 59,353 | 43 | $83,527 | 3 | 12,849 | 9% |
| Sun City West | 31,134 | 18,414 | 76 | $63,464 | 2 | 2,087 | 9% |
| Wittmann | 881 | 302 | 43 | $61,557 | 3 | 46 | 12% |
| Waddell | 16,222 | 4,893 | 38 | $100,225 | 3 | 400 | 12% |
| Peoria | 201,527 | 73,538 | 42 | $89,658 | 3 | 17,991 | 8% |
Disclaimer: The figures on this page reflect LoopNet's active commercial listings in Surprise, AZ and update as inventory changes. Averages can shift between periods or vary across property types depending on the mix of listings available at a given time, so individual metrics may not reflect broader market trends. These figures are best used as directional benchmarks for early market evaluation. For comprehensive commercial real estate data and analytics, subscribe to CoStar.
FAQs About Commercial Investing in Surprise
Surprise offers commercial properties across a wide range of sizes and price points. By reviewing the market data and benchmarks on this page, first-time investors can better understand what a typical commercial property looks like before committing capital and narrowing in on specific listings.
The pricing and size metrics on this page help business owners compare the cost of ownership against leasing in Surprise. Typical building sizes and asking prices provide a starting point for evaluating space needs, budget fit, and long term occupancy costs before engaging lenders or brokers.
Conservative investors often prioritize manageable deal sizes, stable pricing ranges, and cap rate benchmarks shown for Surprise. These metrics help assess whether current market conditions support steady income potential without relying on aggressive assumptions.
Nearby market comparisons highlight differences in pricing, building scale, and cap rate ranges relative to Surprise. Reviewing these side by side helps experienced investors identify relative value, pricing premiums, or alternative markets that may better align with return targets.
This page provides high-level benchmarks for pricing, deal size, and observed cap rates in Surprise, which are useful for initial market filtering. Institutional and data-driven investors often use these signals to prioritize listings that meet size, pricing, and return thresholds before deeper underwriting.
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